Verl vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
VER
2 - 0
ABI
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 2
VER
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
VER
3 - 1
HUL
45%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
WHE
2 - 4
VER
24%
25%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
VER
3 - 1
S04
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FBI
2 - 3
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SPO
3 - 0
SCH
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ERK
0 - 1
SPO
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOR
17%
20%
62%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
LIP
2 - 1
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |