Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
DIE
3 - 0
VER
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
LIP
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KÖL
4 - 1
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
S04
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 2
VER
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 4
KÖL
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
S04
1 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 2
WAT
72%
17%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
ROT
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 2
KFC
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |