Verl vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
VER
5 - 4
ROT
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
SPO
3 - 0
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
HOM
0 - 1
VER
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
EIN
1 - 1
VER
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
VER
2 - 1
BSC
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
PAD
6 - 0
ERK
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
PAD
1 - 1
GET
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
WUP
1 - 2
PAD
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
PAD
1 - 2
KAI
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
SAA
1 - 0
PAD
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |