Verl vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
VER
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
ROT
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
H05
1 - 3
VER
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VER
4 - 3
WAT
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
VER
40%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 1
ROD
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIK
4 - 0
DIE
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 4
S04
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
5 - 1
DIE
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 1
KRA
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |