Verl vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SAL
0 - 2
VER
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
VER
5 - 3
AAA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
FCR
0 - 1
VER
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
VER
0 - 3
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
PAD
2 - 2
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
SAL
1 - 3
HOM
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1998 |
HOM
2 - 2
AAA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
FCR
4 - 0
HOM
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
HOM
1 - 1
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
PAD
3 - 0
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |