Verl vs Hammer SpVg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LIP
3 - 1
VER
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
VER
5 - 2
GUT
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
WAT
1 - 5
VER
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VER
2 - 1
S04
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ERH
1 - 2
VER
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
HAM
1 - 4
BOC
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SVE
2 - 0
HAM
62%
21%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
HAM
1 - 3
ABI
29%
27%
44%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ERK
1 - 3
HAM
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
HAM
2 - 3
ISE
53%
22%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |