Verl vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
VER
4 - 0
LIP
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
LSV
0 - 6
VER
8%
17%
75%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
VER
1 - 0
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ERH
3 - 1
VER
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VER
0 - 0
SPS
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 1
GUT
36%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
GUT
0 - 2
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
KOR
1 - 2
GUT
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GUT
1 - 0
SVE
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FBI
0 - 0
GUT
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |