Verl vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
ROT
3 - 3
VER
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
VER
3 - 2
BAY
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
WAT
3 - 1
VER
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
VER
0 - 0
ERZ
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
EBT
3 - 1
VER
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
F95
1 - 1
PAD
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ROT
1 - 1
F95
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
F95
0 - 0
KÖL
30%
26%
43%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
F95
1 - 0
DRE
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
WAT
2 - 0
F95
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |