Verl vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
PRE
2 - 1
VER
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
VER
4 - 1
KAI
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
SAA
4 - 2
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
VER
0 - 5
ROT
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
SAL
0 - 3
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1998 |
ERK
2 - 4
BAY
40%
24%
37%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
ROT
4 - 2
ERK
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
ERK
3 - 2
EIN
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
BSC
0 - 1
ERK
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ERK
1 - 6
PRE
35%
25%
39%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |