Verl vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1998 |
VER
1 - 0
AAA
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
RWA
5 - 1
VER
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
VER
3 - 1
PAD
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
VER
5 - 4
ROT
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
SPO
3 - 0
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
ERK
2 - 1
GET
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
WUP
3 - 0
ERK
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1998 |
PAD
6 - 0
ERK
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
ERK
1 - 0
KAI
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
SAA
4 - 0
ERK
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |