Verl vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
WAT
5 - 0
VER
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
VER
2 - 2
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
RWA
1 - 2
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VER
2 - 0
GET
75%
15%
9%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
WUP
2 - 5
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
ERK
0 - 2
PRE
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
AAA
1 - 2
ERK
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
ERK
0 - 1
FCR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ELV
2 - 2
ERK
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ERK
2 - 0
FCB
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |