Verl vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
GUT
0 - 0
VER
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
VER
2 - 1
PRE
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
PAD
1 - 1
VER
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
VER
1 - 0
BSC
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
VER
1 - 3
ROT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
ERK
4 - 1
WUP
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
AAA
1 - 1
ERK
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
ERK
0 - 0
HOM
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ERK
4 - 2
KAI
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
HAU
0 - 1
ERK
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |