Vereya vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vereya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SOZ
1 - 0
VER
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SLI
1 - 5
VER
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
VER
7 - 1
NES
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROZ
0 - 4
VER
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
VER
3 - 0
ASE
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SLI
0 - 0
SEP
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SEP
1 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
SEP
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 0
OBO
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 2
SEP
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | +1 |