Vere United vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
13º
12º
41
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
VER
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
VER
44%
28%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VER
0 - 3
CAV
23%
28%
48%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VER
1 - 1
TRI
28%
30%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
CMF
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
MOL
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
6 - 0
WAT
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -2 |