Vere Phoenix United vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
13º
12º
41
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere Phoenix United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
VER
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
VER
44%
28%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VER
0 - 3
CAV
23%
28%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VER
1 - 1
TRI
28%
30%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
CMF
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
MOL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
PAC
6 - 0
WAT
68%
18%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |