Premier League Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Vere United vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
CAV
31%
30%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MPA
0 - 0
VER
57%
24%
18%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
TRI
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VER
1 - 0
ARN
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DFC
2 - 1
VER
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
4 - 3
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VER
0 - 1
TRI
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
DFC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 3
TRI
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |