Vere Phoenix United vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
33%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
13º
12º
26
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere Phoenix United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
VER
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
VER
44%
28%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VER
0 - 3
CAV
23%
28%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VER
1 - 1
TRI
28%
30%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
LIO
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
MON
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
MON
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |