Vere Phoenix United vs Chapelton Maroons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
10º
13º
12º
9
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere Phoenix United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
VER
0 - 0
LIO
27%
30%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ARN
1 - 1
VER
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
VER
0 - 0
MON
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
VER
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 5
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
CMF
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CMF
1 - 0
MOL
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
CMF
0 - 1
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
CMF
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |