Vere United vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
10º
9º
49
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VER
6 - 2
LIM
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 0
VER
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
VER
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
TRI
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 0
ARN
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
ARN
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 1
ARN
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 1
MOL
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |