Verdal vs Strømsgodset II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
74.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
13º
11º
30
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 43 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
VER
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
ORK
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VER
5 - 0
SUR
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
STA
3 - 3
VER
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Strømsgodset II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
4 - 4
MEL
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BYA
5 - 2
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
SKT
75%
14%
12%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
STA
67%
16%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
TIL
6 - 2
STR
11%
15%
73%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -3 |