Verdal vs Rana FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
13º
11º
53
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 59 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 53 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 42 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 41 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 39 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 31 |
10º
|
73% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 76% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
VER
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VER
1 - 4
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 0
VER
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
BYA
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TIL
3 - 0
VER
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rana FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
RFK
1 - 1
MOS
81%
12%
8%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RFK
3 - 0
STR
38%
23%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 2
RFK
31%
21%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RFK
2 - 1
NAR
44%
24%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BYA
0 - 0
RFK
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |