Verbania vs Ligorna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BOR
1 - 0
VER
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VER
0 - 1
VAR
7%
19%
75%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VOG
1 - 1
VER
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
INV
8%
16%
75%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 0
VFC
71%
16%
12%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 3
INV
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAV
1 - 2
LIG
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAV
1 - 1
LIG
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 0
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |