Verbania vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VER
1 - 0
FEZ
25%
23%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VER
0 - 3
SER
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
VER
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VER
2 - 3
FOS
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ACP
5 - 0
VER
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
USR
0 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
GHI
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
BOR
50%
25%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 3
CAS
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |