Verbania vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.6%
74.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VOG
1 - 1
VER
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
INV
8%
16%
75%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CUN
1 - 0
VER
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 3
BOR
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BUS
3 - 1
VER
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
BUS
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GOZ
2 - 1
VAR
19%
26%
56%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
VAR
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |