Veranópolis vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veranópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
SLU
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
3 - 2
VER
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
YPI
2 - 0
VER
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
VER
2 - 1
CAX
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
VER
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 5
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 0
ESP
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
ISM
1 - 1
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATM
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
IFC
1 - 4
GRE
25%
26%
48%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | +1 |