Veranópolis vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veranópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
VER
3 - 3
SLU
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LAJ
2 - 1
VER
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 2
VER
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
CAN
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 4
VER
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 1
CAX
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 0
CRU
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
PEL
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAX
21%
23%
55%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |