Veracruz vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IRA
4 - 0
VER
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VER
1 - 2
NEC
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 0
VER
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VER
4 - 0
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
TIJ
4 - 2
UDG
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 0
IRA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
NEC
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 0
UDG
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |