Veracruz vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
ATS
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
QRO
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
JAG
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 2
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 1
ATS
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |