Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Veracruz vs Socio Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
VER
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 3
VER
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
TAM
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 1
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
CDT
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Socio Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
VER
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 2
IRA
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
REB
1 - 1
SAG
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SAG
4 - 1
IND
45%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CSL
2 - 0
SAG
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |