Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Veracruz vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 0
VER
79%
13%
9%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VER
0 - 2
JAG
52%
23%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 0
VER
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
VER
3 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
VER
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 0
VER
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 5
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 3
NEC
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
PUM
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |