Veracruz vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
LAP
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
VER
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
VER
50%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
DOR
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
UAT
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
1 - 2
MOR
28%
28%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
VER
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |