Veracruz vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
NEC
4 - 0
VER
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
VER
0 - 2
MON
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VER
1 - 1
PUM
35%
24%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 0
VER
79%
13%
9%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VER
0 - 2
JAG
52%
23%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 6
MOR
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 1
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |