Veracruz vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 2
VER
16%
25%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 0
VER
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VER
3 - 1
UDG
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IRA
4 - 0
VER
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VER
1 - 2
NEC
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
UDG
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 0
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
IRA
2 - 0
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 3
NEC
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
DOR
0 - 1
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |