Veracruz vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 2
VER
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VER
2 - 3
LAP
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 1
VER
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LAP
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LOB
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |