Vera vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LPA
0 - 0
VER
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 1
VER
42%
24%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
TEL
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
UNV
2 - 3
VER
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
COT
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDB
42%
25%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TEL
0 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 2
SDT
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LPA
3 - 3
MAR
86%
11%
3%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
YAI
28%
27%
46%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |