Vera vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VSB
5 - 0
VER
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
LAN
33%
26%
41%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VEC
6 - 0
VER
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
UNV
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CDM
2 - 0
VER
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 2
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
UDI
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 3
YAI
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
EST
4 - 1
UDI
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 3
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |