Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Vera vs UD Almansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
LPA
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
COR
0 - 2
VER
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 3
VER
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
CDT
40%
25%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Almansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
UDT
66%
21%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALM
17%
26%
57%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
TOM
69%
20%
12%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 1
ALM
34%
27%
40%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |