Vera Cruz vs Sete de Setembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VCR
2 - 2
SSS
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 3
ISC
56%
25%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AFO
3 - 0
VCR
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 3
VCR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
SAL
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VCR
2 - 2
SSS
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SSS
1 - 1
AFO
21%
24%
54%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ISC
0 - 0
SSS
50%
26%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 1
SSS
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |