Vera Cruz vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
VCR
84%
12%
4%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
VCR
86%
11%
3%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
VCR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VCR
1 - 3
SPO
6%
18%
76%
|
36 | 72 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
YPI
1 - 1
VCR
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 0
SAL
85%
12%
3%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
NAU
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRB
12%
20%
69%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 2
SAL
74%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
TRE
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |