Vera Cruz vs Pesqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
VCR
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
1 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
4 - 0
YPI
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
VCR
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
VCR
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
YPI
0 - 2
PES
34%
27%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
PES
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
YPI
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |