Vera Cruz vs Centro Limoeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SED
2 - 0
VCR
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
9 - 1
MAI
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VCR
2 - 2
ISC
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
0 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
VCR
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Centro Limoeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ISC
2 - 3
LIM
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
2 - 0
LIM
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAG
5 - 0
LIM
49%
22%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
0 - 1
FEC
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 0
LIM
44%
26%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -2 |