Vera Cruz vs Belo Jardim FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
VCR
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 0
VCR
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VCR
3 - 0
SFE
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
VCR
0 - 1
CAT
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
VCR
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
5 - 0
MAI
57%
23%
21%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 0
MAG
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 0
BEL
33%
27%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |