Ventura County Fusion vs Moreno Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 3
FRA
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TUC
5 - 2
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
VEN
3 - 0
SEA
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 3
GSF
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SDZ
1 - 1
VEN
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |