Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Ventspils vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
VEN
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 1
FCS
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 3
VEN
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 1
LIE
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FKJ
2 - 0
VEN
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 1
VEN
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 1
GOM
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
MIN
0 - 1
SHA
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 2
SHA
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |