Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 3-3
Ventspils vs Wisła Płock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
RKB
0 - 7
VEN
8%
19%
74%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
LIE
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
DIN
2 - 2
VEN
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
VEN
4 - 1
AUD
89%
9%
3%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
FKR
0 - 2
VEN
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Wisła Płock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GOR
3 - 1
PLO
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
PLO
0 - 1
OWD
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
KSZ
0 - 2
PLO
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
PLO
0 - 3
WIS
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
GÓR
1 - 2
PLO
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |