UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Ventspils vs Kocaelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
VEN
5 - 1
DRE
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
VIF
1 - 0
VEN
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1999 |
LIE
3 - 1
VEN
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
FCS
3 - 1
VEN
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 3
VEN
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
ADA
1 - 1
KOC
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
KOC
2 - 0
GEN
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
FEN
1 - 1
KOC
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
KOC
1 - 1
ERZ
73%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
IST
2 - 1
KOC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |