Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 1-3
Ventspils vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2001 |
LIE
1 - 2
VEN
53%
23%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
HJK
2 - 1
VEN
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
VEN
2 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
VEN
2 - 0
FCD
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
DIN
1 - 4
VEN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
HJK
4 - 0
INT
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
HJK
2 - 0
MYP
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
HJK
2 - 1
VEN
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
ATL
1 - 0
HJK
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
FCJ
0 - 2
HJK
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |