Ventspils vs Gulbene 2005 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
1 - 0
VEN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
FCS
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
FKS
0 - 3
VEN
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
FCD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCJ
0 - 1
VEN
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gulbene 2005
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FKJ
0 - 0
GUL
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
GUL
0 - 3
FSM
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 1
FKD
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUL
0 - 1
FCJ
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCD
1 - 0
GUL
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |