Ventspils vs Daugava Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 3
VEN
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FKD
1 - 2
VEN
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
VEN
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 1
VEN
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FKJ
4 - 1
FKD
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FKD
1 - 2
VEN
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 0
FKD
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FKD
2 - 2
FCS
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JFK
2 - 1
FKD
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |