Ventspils vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCJ
0 - 1
VEN
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 0
FKJ
77%
16%
6%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FSM
0 - 2
VEN
11%
21%
68%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
5 - 0
FKD
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 2
VEN
15%
22%
64%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCD
1 - 0
GUL
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCJ
2 - 4
FCD
29%
25%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
FCD
0 - 0
LIE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FKJ
0 - 2
FCD
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |