Ventspils vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 1
VEN
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 0
FKJ
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 3
VEN
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
4 - 0
JFK
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 1
GUL
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FKD
0 - 3
FCD
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 3
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 1
FKJ
47%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 1
FCD
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |